The wide receivers here are worthy dart-throws for various reasons. The statistics above tell us that elite TEs give fantasy managers more yearly consistency and a bigger weekly advantage than an elite WR will. He started writing for 4for4 before the 2019 season, and he's primarily focused on best-ball, redraft, and dynasty fantasy leagues. He ended up with the Rams and second-round draft capital. When you select "rookies only" in your mock draft options, it's fair to expect the player pool to feature only rookies. With the NFL Draft in our rearview mirror, we have finally embarked on Dynasty Rookie Draft season, and the start of Dynasty Startup season is just around the corner. If Carter can land on a team that leans on their backfield as an extension of the passing game, he could really shine as a fantasy asset. Copyright Intense Industries, LLC. What helps to push Lance over Fields is the stability on the team. 2.07) T. Marshall WR CAR Just do it.". I'm a bit gun shy after falling for N'Keal Harry in 2019another separation-averse receiver who at least had first-round NFL Draft capital. He could form a strong duo at the position alongside Mike Gesicki in Miami. Kenneth Gainwell is the fourth running back taken in this draft, and while George has both Michael Carter and Chuba Hubbard ranked higher, I can see Aaron's reasoning with this selection. 4.10) L. Rountree RB LAC Useful for fantasy draft preparation. The landing spot is a perfect fit. Jordan was fairly popular among a number of draft analysts as the potential TE2 in this class, but after some fairly poor athletic measurables, the NFL as a whole shook its head and teams went with Pat Freiermuth, Hunter Long, Tommy Tremble, Tre' McKitty, John Bates, Kylen Granson and Luke Farrell before Houston selected Jordan with the third pick in the fifth round. He should also end up with an impressive dominator rating and should easily outperform his third-round rookie fantasy draft capital. ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. multiple pre-draft meetings with the New England Patriots, 10 Fantasy-Relevant 2023 Rookies: A First Look, 2023 Available Targets and Air Yards Tracker, Punt & Kickoff Return Depth Chart and Players to Target, 12 Last-Place Punishments for Your Fantasy League, 2023 NFL Scouting Combine: Schedule, Participants, & Live Updated Results. Urban Meyer pairs him with his former QB in Lawrence, and Etienne should fit in perfectly in the system Meyer wants to run in Jacksonville. Shi Smith because he joins a Panthers team behind starters D.J. Use judgment on which position on your team needs the most help. Learn more. Absolutely no surprise here. Let's not lose sight of the fact that this Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft took place toward the end of February, and the intrepid souls who took part are all some part of engaged, degenerate, curious, and knowledgable. This means Javian Hawkins will destroy all expectations and will be an immediate RB1. 1.02) T. Lance QB SF Marshall will be just 20 years old when he's drafted in April, and while his fantasy stock might sit a bit lower due to his weight (200 pounds at 6-foot-3), he has speed to burn and a nose for the end zone. I figured Pat may have been pinching himself at the reality of having Bateman available at the 1.11, and I was not wrong. 5.09) J. Jefferson RB DET Hes the type of dynamic athlete who typifies todays NFL and should become a big-play threat and movable chess piece for an NFL offense that will lead to solid fantasy stats.". Danny: "This was an easy pick here with both Lawrence and Fields gone. 4.12) Q. Morris TE BUF, Round 5 I Decided to take who many believe to be the best RB in this draft. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! With this years elite QB class forcing potential starters at RB and WR down the board, fantasy managers should be valuing their early second-round picks more than usual. Earlier late-round rookie targets like Demetric Felton, Larry Rountree, Jaret Patterson, Kylin Hill and Jermar Jefferson all fell out of the NFL Draft, and subsequently the second dynasty rookie mock as well, but they all ended up on NFL teams as undrafted free agents worth adding to your watch list. Etienne will be the lead back for the Jaguars and the primary passing option vaulting him to the RB2 in this 2021 dynasty rookie mock draft. Paul: Incredibly versatile WR who moved from slot to perimeter this year, and averaged more than a TD/game. That player is Mac Jones, whose lack of mobility and elite arm talent will limit his fantasy upside unless the Patriots add Julio Jones and another stellar weapon specializing in Yards After the Catch (YAC). 33.6. It serves as a useful draft prep tool for understanding how players are valued. He'll also have Tua Tagovailoa as his quarterback, and he's got ideal size for the position at 6-foot-5 and 254 pounds. Dynasty Fantasy Football 2021: Rookie-only Superflex mock draft analysis and full results Rookie drafts get considerably deeper in the Superflex format By Heath Cummings May 26, 2021 at. With seven WRs off the board, I like Toneys floor as a big-slot WR whose ability to create separation in space is excellent. Batemen is a precise route runner with prototypical size who could realistically outperform many of the receivers drafted before him in this class. If his struggles were more related to playing through injury and performance issues around him than individual struggles, Brandon could be landing an absolute steal at 2.08. Drafting Tamorrion Terry is making a bet on innate athleticism and traits over college production. It's certainly possible Aaron Rodgers forces a trade out of Green Bay or sits out his age-37 season, but count me among those who believe he'll be starting for the Packers come September 12th. Michael Carter has stronger college metrics and a clearer pathway to volume, but will operate in an offense that is more of an unknown with a rookie quarterback and an offensive line that struggled in 2020. It isn't strictly a 2QB league, as you can substitute any offensive skill position for the superflex spot, but that would be suboptimal for your team and is only an emergency measure. It's 6 points per pass TD and also full-PPR scoring. Throw in his receiving production and size, and hes got a great shot at a three-down alpha-RB role.". But how will the team fair around him? Superflex Devy Dynasty ADP. Given the disparity in how this years crop looks relative to Superflex and Non-Superflex leagues, we will be putting out two different early Rookie Mock Drafts for you. Trevor Lawrence is the first overall section in this 2021 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft and has been for quite some time. His upside screams playmaker like Patrick Mahomes. Aaron: "With the two top quarterbacks off the board, Im very happy grabbing Ja'Marr Chase with the fourth overall pick. Things will have to break right for Kylin Hill in the NFL Draft process for him to return fantasy value in the short term, but he's proven his skill as a receiver out of the backfield, and he's adept at breaking tackles. His speed, agility and breakout age of 18.9 makes him a good candidate to rise up the depth chart quickly. 4.04) T. Tremble TE CAR 3.08) T. Atwell WR LAR Selecting him at 4.09 might be my best choice in this draft. After an incredible rookie season as a UDFA, the question is how will both RBs split the carries. Soooo, Riley Ferguson is not a rookie, he was a 2018 quarterback prospect out of Memphis. Javian Hawkins will compete with Qadree Ollison and Tony Brooks-James for snaps behind Mike Davis, and Hawkins's 20 targets and 127 receiving yards at Louisville in 2020 more than doubled his 2019 totals in both categories. Kadarius Toney's skills in space are at war with his production profile, and his ability to overcome low success percentages with raw talent makes him risky as my first receiver from this class. We have assembled a group of our. He is an explosive runner with a great release. 5.04) H. Long TE MIA 49ers Backs Have Value: Regardless of the format, Ill keep pushing the value of Elijah Mitchell in these Rookie Drafts. I really like Sage Surratt, and wasn't shy about it in a recent 4for4 dynasty round table, so I like Danny's selection here. Out of the gate, he could be a nice red-zone target, with the potential to build on his route running skills to become a solid WR in the league.". Pat Freiermuth, George's Rookie TE2, is a value for Aaron here. Andrew: "Herbert probably wont be much of a pass-catching threat in the NFL, but he's a legit athlete with speed likely to test out in the low-4.4s, and after a 2020 season at Virginia Tech in which he rushed for 1,182 yards and eight touchdowns, he's an easy target here. Harris was born to be Pittsburghs RB and will see a massive touch count from Day 1. Welcome to the late-fourth-round of a fantasy rookie draft. You literally can not go wrong. He then finished his college career in 2020 with 1,528 combined rushing/receiving yards, alongside 20 touchdowns, all while maintaining over 5.8 yards per attempt. Either way, Rodgers & Rodgers is the pairing most drafters are hoping for. He is by far the most valuable running back of all 2021 dynasty rookies. Computer selections are filtered out, and only human selections are considered. 1) Trevor Lawrence (QB1 - Jacksonville Jaguars) Absolutely no surprise here. He runs very tough for his size and has very nice speed, which may cause his stock to rise a bit. Data from 2551 fantasy football mock drafts between May 25, 2016 and September 2, 2016. Brown and new free-Agent arrival Josh Reynolds (Chester Rogers, Cameron Batson, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Marcus Johnson and Cody Hollister do not represent an impregnable wall for a rookie to climb over). Plus, Thor Nystrom of Rotoworld compared him to David Garrard, which, while unsexy on the surface, a Garrard-like career from a fourth-round rookie pick is something I would gladly take.". Pro Football Network strives to passionately deliver purposeful, captivating, and exceptional football content. ADP Sources:
The drafters supplied me with insight into their picks, and I've included my own thoughts on picks and the mock draft overall. Also please subscribe to the Fantasy Couch YouTube channel! Hes a big, fast touchdown machine who produced despite playing second and third fiddle to Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase the last few years. Quarterback Davis Mills joined a Houston Texans team with a giant void of unknown at quarterback given Deshaun Watson's legal troubles. I may be slightly irrational in my enthusiasm for Chuba Hubbard, and I understand easing up off of the gas pedal after his disappointing senior year. Khalil Herbert didn't really get a reasonable chance to show his capabilities in his college career at Virginia Tech. What is Rookie ADP? Up to this point, this 2021 Superflex rookie mock draft has followed my rookie rankings. He could be the steal of 2021 dynasty rookie rankings. 3.01) C. Hubbard RB CAR Getting this guy at 1.11 seems unfair. It serves as a useful draft prep tool for understanding how players are valued. Detailed information on these average draft position calculations can be found here. Elijah Moore was one of the clearest beneficiaries of the NFL Draft outcome, rising 17 spots from the 3.06 to the 2.01. Choosing weapons over protection, they selected JaMarr Chase and paired him with his former LSU QB in Joe Burrow. 2.12) N. Collins WR HOU, Round 3 Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App 2.08) R. Moore WR ARI Lance going third overall to San Francisco was a dream scenario for him. He offers a higher floor than many of the options on the board at other positions. Winning the Heisman after a 2020 senior season that saw him put up 1,856 yards and 23 touchdowns will go a long way toward looking past his stature. Kyle Pitts is Underrated: Since 2021, seven different WRs have finished as the WR1 in PPR scoring, but only three different TEs have finished as TE1. 13-24 2nd round, etc. You probably won't want to draft from this. Side note: If my hometown Patriots were to trade up in the first round to pick a quarterback, as our own Anthony Staggs predicts in his Mock Draft, choosing Lance to develop for a short time behind a veteran acquisition like Ryan Fitzpatrick is the stuff of dreams, or potentially nightmares for nearly anyone who didn't grow up in the New England area. All Harris did in 2019 was command the majority of Alabama's rushing attempts and explode for 1,224 yards and 20 touchdowns. If you play in fantasy leagues that start only one quarterback at a time (Non-Superflex), the 2021 rookie class will be admittedly top-heavy. The next step on the, 1) Trevor Lawrence (QB1 Jacksonville Jaguars), 2) Trey Lance (QB2 San Francisco 49ers), Honestly, all 2021 rookie drafts begin here at pick No. Quarterbacks are the most valuable position in this league, and any time you can select a starting QB, you have to do it. He may lack the explosiveness to expand his game too far. Heading into the NFL Draft, I tried to move off the 1.01 for a kings ransom. Other than that it will be roughly the same. I was thrilled to draft him here as my rookie RB1. I was debating between Seth Williams (who went with the very next pick) and Jamie Newman here. Jordan's college breakout age of 18.1 puts him in the 99th percentile, and he had more yards after the catch in 2020 than any other tight end in this class, so he could easily provide value here with some needed patience and time on your taxi squad. I'm torn on Amon-Ra St. Brown as a prospect. Our ADP Consensus. Mills joins Kellen Mond as the Superflex upside plays in this range, with Mond having a more difficult path to 2021 usage with Kirk Cousins ahead of him in Minnesota. How could you go wrong with, 5) JaMarr Chase (WR1 Cincinnati Bengals), The Bengals actually did it. George Kritikos recently wrote a Pre-NFL Draft vs. Post-NFL Draft article that utilized the same four drafters executing both rookie mocks in a 1QB format, breaking down what changes the NFL Draft brought on these offensive prospects. Just look at any standard PPR ADP list and limit it to rookies. This is an extra-difficult decision before the NFL Draft gives us landing spots for the quarterback prospects, and I can't fault either Paul's pick here or George's immediately following. Elijah Moore is another slot-receiver-plus who should test extremely well in what would normally have been NFL Combine drills that will now take place at Ole Miss' Pro Day. In what seemed like a whirlwind 72 hours, the 2021 NFL Draft is now behind us. LV. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. 5.03) K. Hill RB GB Im taking Pitts in every 2021 rookie mock draft when given a chance. 3.9. If you're shooting for the moon in this round, it may as well be at the position with both scarcity and value. Moore ended up with second-round draft capital, a quarterback in Zach Wilson taken second overall, and a potential roadblock in Jamison Crowder potentially avoided with Crowder appearing likely to be cut. Javonte Williams is an interesting non-mover in that his early-March value at 1.09 as the third running back taken reflected his college production, size and the hope he would land with a team that would use him as a three-down back. One of which we will touch on very soon. Dodgers The Early Favorites For Shohei Ohtani? He is flying under the radar, playing at Western Michigan, but I project him as a Day 2 NFL Draft pick, which will skyrocket his fantasy football value.". 5.11) J. Harris TE LAR 4.05) C. Powell WR KC Since 2017, they have been bottom five in nearly all rushing statistics. 2.11) P. Freiermuth TE PIT That isnt the case in this years Superflex drafts, though, with intriguing talents like Trey Sermon and Michael Carter regularly falling into the teens. Yes, I know how many games he played and the competition, but I dont care, and neither did the 49ers when they selected him as the third overall player. 3 was the easiest pick, but maybe it is this one. 12 in the NFL Draft, 9) Travis Etienne (RB2 Jacksonville Jaguars), Heading into the NFL Draft, it was a coin flip between, 10) Mac Jones (QB5 New England Patriots). Still, at this point, I was looking for playing time upside, and his mentality and work ethic should land him a role somewhere.". All rights reserved. Sermon lands in an excellent zone-blocking offense in San Francisco, but faces touch competition from the 49ers' strong group of veteran running backs. That's not a typo. The influx of a talented 2022 rookie class has shaken up these superflex dynasty rankings a bit, as quite a few quarterbacks gained receiving weapons and upgrades to their surrounding cast during the NFL Draft. Other than that it will be roughly the same. Matt: "I am shocked to see Collins fall to me with the last pick of this mock draft. Selected at pick No. Pat: "Is he a running back or a wide receiver? Computer selections are filtered out, and only human selections are considered. Javonte Williams exponentially increased his production over his three-year college career at North Carolina, and while the receiving accolades are mostly directed at his teammate Michael Carter, Williams displayed his utility as a receiver out of the backfield in 2020. Demetric Felton has the ability to excel as a receiver out of the backfield and in slot receiving formations. 1.01 - Trevor Lawrence - QB1. Dynasty Rookie Average Draft Position (2022), 12 teams All Players Tweet graph Embed graph Data from 31 fantasy football mock drafts between December 3, 2022 and January 13, 2023. Fields talent is undeniable, and he could be a top-six QB in dynasty formats in a very short time. It serves as a useful draft prep tool for understanding how players are valued. He was an anti-sports punk-rock-listening skateboarding nerd until he left his hometown in 1995, and then took a hard left turn into sports fandom borne from a need to represent his home state after moving to New York. Pat: "Overshadowed by Tee Higgins and Justyn Ross in 2019, Rodgers had a late breakout in 2020, then was the best receiver at the Senior Bowl by several accounts. May 8, 2021 FullTimeFantasy Staff Season Long - Dynasty NFL, Season Long - All Sports, Season Long - NFL. As I said for Lance, both he and, 4) Najee Harris (RB1 Pittsburgh Steelers), I know I said pick No. Book has never profiled as a starting QB in the NFL, and he doesn't do anything that Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill cant do better. Both Trey Lance and Justin Fields are incredible talents and equally deserve this draft selection. Brandon: "Mond is the third QB on my draft board, so Im nabbing him in the middle round of rookie drafts, particularly in Superflex formats. . 2.01) R. Bateman WR BAL He has nice upside as a future red zone monster and sure enough hands to demand volume in the right system.". While he's a long shot to start in the NFL, barring a series of fortuitous events (for him, unfortunate events for those who would need to flame out to open the necessary doors), I do think he has the ability to show out if the opportunity presents itself. However, he lands on a team with a massive need at wide receiver and will be a fantasy contributor from Week 1. In Week 4 of Buffalo's 2020 season, Patterson rushed for 409 yards and eight touchdowns. He is a big-bodied wideout with great athleticism and field-stretching ability. Patterson is a powerful and tenacious runner between the tackles and led the MAC in rushing in 2019 and 2020. His versatility could make him a very valuable fantasy asset in the right scheme.". 3.04) D. Eskridge WR SEA He also displayed excellent accuracy on throws down the field. 5.05) I. Smith-Marsette WR MIN 1.01 - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson Sal: "You are sitting in the driver's seat if you hold the 1.01 pick in a Superflex rookie draft. Big Run on QBs:This early run on QBs is expected in leagues that start two or more quarterbacks, but it's still noteworthy. 2. 4.06) A. Schwartz WR CLE Its 6 points per pass TD and also full-PPR scoring. The Jaguars made some solid additions to their team, especially on the offense. Season-Long. Justin: "At this point in the draft I tend to lean towards running backs if Im in a tiebreaker situation between positions. 4.08) K. Granson TE IND Helps Nets To Big Comeback Victory With 38 Points, Scores Career-High 41 Points Against Portland, Keeps Point Streak Going With Two Assists, Jessie Bates III Not Expected Back In Cincinnati, No Movement On Leighton Vander Esch Talks, Browns Could Restructure Deshaun Watson's Contract, Cowboys Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Tony Pollard, Yandy Diaz Likely Sidelined Into Next Week, Continues To Chase Elusive Florida Victory, Matthew Fitzpatrick Looking To Get His Season Rolling At Bay Hill, With The Opportunity Of A Lifetime At UFC 285, Looking For Third Straight Victory At UFC 285, With Big Opportunity To Derail Hype Train, Tyrell Hatton Generates Buzz At Arnold Palmer, Tom Kim Trying To Improve Putting At Bay Hill, Set To Make Arnold Palmer Invitational Debut, Snaps Losing Streak With Main-Card Decision Win, Continues To Shine With First-Round Submission, We Are Your Secret Weapon|Copyright 2011 - 2023|Win Big with RotoBaller, - Import Your Leagues With Team Sync, Use The Live Draft Sync Assistant -. Allen Robinson will surely be gone after this year, and if they struggle, so will Matt Nagy and Ryan Pace. Couch Empire League - 2021 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Draft (SuperFlex) This is a SuperFlex league where you can start up to two quarterbacks, and you have to start three wide receivers. View current ADP data. Sure, they might allow 35 points every week, but they can score 49 just as quickly. Jamie Newman fell out of the fourth round in the post-NFL Draft mock, but was signed by the Eagles and is worth keeping an eye on in case Jalen Hurts falters. He's a worthy target here. 3.05) R. Stevenson RB NE Ihmir Smith-Marsette because he remains an interesting prospect who played college ball for an Iowa team with Spencer Petras at quarterback and because he was the only wide receiver drafted by the Vikings (though they did have UDFA additions that included Whop Philyor, who I want to succeed because his name is the 1.01 of this class). Honestly, all 2021 rookie drafts begin here at pick No. My RBs are not bad (CEH, Dobbins, Hunt, Drake), my defenses are amazing (PIT & SF), my TE could work out (Goedert), but I need major upgrades at QB and WR; two very important positions in this league. Superflex Rookie Dynasty ADP. Gainwell may be destined for more of a complementary role in the NFL, but the same could be said for Michael Carter to some extentand he doesn't have Hubbard's senior year stat-depression. Chase came into the NFL Draft the WR1 and exits in the same position. Managers in this format can get desperate for QB depth, and that desperation will force reserve passers with no immediate fantasy value (Kyle Trask and Kellen Mond) ahead of position players who have a much clearer path to fantasy relevance. Ultimately for me, Lance slots in ahead of Wilson as the QB3 for fantasy due to his dual-threat Konami-code upside. Speaking of Michael Carter, Justin didn't let the dual-purpose teammate of Javonte Williams sneak past him. Edit, found a pretty good tool: https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp/rookie/12-team/all/2021. Make no mistake, Trevor Lawrence is the best quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck.Rarely do we see true freshmen dominate as Lawrence did in 2018, and over his three seasons at Clemson, Lawrence exhibited excellent accuracy, the ability to make good reads, and great footwork. On the other hand, he's unlikely to showcase impressive speed at his Pro Day and hasn't proven to be adept at creating separation. His value took a bit of a hit in terms of his opportunity for immediate production when he was drafted by a Denver team paying Melvin Gordon $8M in 2021, 86% of which is guaranteed. I'm with Matt 100% here. Pitts can line up all over the formation, block sufficiently well in the running game, and he plays at a position of scarcity in fantasy football. 1.07) K. Pitts TE ATL 2021 at 2:01 pm ET 2 min read . The fine folks over at FantasyPros invited me and 11 other fantasy writers to join a superflex dynasty league a few years back. Brandon: "Hubbard looks like he has starter potential, but might be very landing spot-dependent based on his profile of an elite complementary back, catching the ball out of the backfield and trying to get the ball in space. If I had a do-over, I would probably go with Elijah Moore or Michael Carter here. 5.10) S. Fehoko WR DAL 3.09) D. Mills QB HOU Waddle is a multi-use weapon with game-changing speed whose fantasy value will rise significantly if he lands with an NFL team that understands how to utilize him. The good news, though, is that all is not lost. For the post-NFL Draft mock, Jack Miller and Pete Davidson joined the party, while Pat Fitzmaurice and Paul Williams graciously returned, and John Hogue and Pat Thorman took the bait to fill out the draft room. A couple of months have passed since I recapped a pre-NFL Draft Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft. Brevin Jordan is George's TE3 in this class, but at the bottom of a tier below several receivers on the board. Justin: "As a developmental slot receiver, Shi Smith is someone you would want to be keeping on your taxi squad for a year or two, without a ton of roads that lead to immediate fantasy production. All I can say is good luck to the NFC South stopping the Falcons offense. 13-24 2nd round, etc. Although now that I think about it, maybe thats a good thing? Zach Wilson has truly remarkable touch on his deep passes, and the arm to deliver them accurately. Thanks! Sam Wallace and I are in a pitched battle for dynasty supremacy in our Dynasty Draft-Off.We each get six teams, and it's brutal trying to grab values in all of them with Sam vacuuming up good players in between all of my picks. If not for Superflex, he is the clear and easy 1.01 selection. 1.12) J. Waddle WR MIA, Round 2 Enjoy Startup Draft Advanced ADP! It's part of the one-of-a-kind Premium Membership! That means that many of you are actively wondering what to do with this years rookie class.